Rajat CapitalWeekly Reading
Issue 3719–25 Sep 2026

Seven weeks of losses.Only 4.6% lower.

Headlines are comparing this market to March 2020. The numbers say otherwise. This week's issue explains what is actually driving the slide, what SEBI and IRDAI changed, and the dates that matter in October.

How far Nifty 50 fell, then and now

March 2020over 4 weeks
−38%
Aug–Sep 2026over 7 weeks, 24,252 to 23,140
−4.6%
A slow, orderly correction driven by US bond yields and crude oil, cushioned by record domestic SIP flows.

The week in numbers

Closing levels as of Friday, 25 September 2026

23,140.50
Nifty 50
−0.88% for the week
73,895.74
BSE Sensex
−0.53% for the week
5.17%
US 10-year yield
+12 bps, near 2007 highs
$104.50
Brent crude
Per barrel, above $100
₹95.85
USD / INR
Rupee weaker on oil and dollar
5.25%
RBI repo rate
MPC meets 5–7 October
4.82%
CPI inflation (Aug)
4th month above 4% target
₹32,297 Cr
Monthly SIP inflow
All-time high in August
“In March 2020, markets fell 38% in four weeks. Today, Nifty has given up 4.6% across nearly two months. Those are not the same event.”

Foreign investors are moving money towards US Treasuries now yielding over 5%, and crude above $100 is stretching India's import bill. That explains the steady drift lower.

What has changed since earlier cycles is the domestic investor. Domestic institutions put more than ₹11,200 crore to work this week alone, backed by ₹32,297 crore of SIP money every month. That flow is why a potential sharp fall has so far been a gradual consolidation.

Inside Issue 37

Ten developments from the week, explained for investors. Four of them:

SEBI 215th board meeting

A new portfolio manager route built on mutual funds

PRIM lets portfolio managers run strategies using direct plans of mutual funds, ETFs and SIFs. Minimum ticket ₹25 lakh, fee capped at 1% of AUM.

IRDAI consultation

Insurance commissions and bank selling set for an overhaul

Product-wise commission caps, a three-tier distribution model and a ban on volume-linked incentives for bank and NBFC staff. Comments open till 25 October.

Market flows

FIIs sold over ₹5,000 crore on a single day

A day-by-day read of the week's foreign and domestic flows, and why Friday's late recovery matters.

SEBI regulation

One advertisement code for brokers, AMCs and PMS

Prior approval is largely replaced by post-issue compliance reporting within three working days.

Also inside: REIT and InvIT depository receipts via GIFT City, the NISM V-D deadline for SIF distributors, the Public Insurance Registry, SEBI's net settlement proposal and the 30 September ITR deadline for firms and LLPs.

Three habits that matter in a slow market

General investor education from this week's issue, not a recommendation for any individual.

Keep SIPs running through the drift

A falling NAV means each instalment buys more units. Pausing a SIP when the index is 4.6% lower gives up exactly that.

Let asset allocation absorb volatility

With US yields above 5% and domestic debt offering steady accrual, a mix of equity, debt and gold does more than trying to time the bottom.

Stagger large sums through an STP

Moving surplus money into equity funds in instalments over 6 to 12 months removes the pressure of picking an entry day.

Dates to watch

Regulatory and policy deadlines over the next four weeks

30 Sep
Income Tax
ITR-5, ITR-6 and ITR-7 dueNon-audit companies, LLPs, partnership firms and trusts
1 Oct
PFRDA
NPS PoP charges revisedNew fee structure for points of presence takes effect
3 Oct
SEBI
CAS consultation closesProposed improvements to the consolidated account statement
5–7 Oct
RBI
Monetary policy meetingRepo rate decision with inflation above target
12 Oct
PFRDA
NPS scheme names standardisedRestructuring of scheme naming conventions completes
25 Oct
IRDAI
Distribution consultation closesCommission caps, three-tier model and bancassurance curbs

Read Issue 37 in full, and every week after.

Weekly Reading is a free market briefing from Rajat Capital. One issue a week, sent on WhatsApp.

  • The week's market data with context, not just closing levels
  • SEBI, AMFI, IRDAI and RBI changes explained in plain English
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